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The Egyptian state was formed prior to the existence of verifiable historical records. Conventional dates for its formation are based on the relative ordering of artefacts. This approach is no longer considered sufficient for cogent historical analysis. Here, we produce an absolute chronology for Early Egypt by combining radiocarbon and archaeological evidence within a Bayesian paradigm.
Our data cover the full trajectory of Egyptian state formation and indicate that the process occurred more rapidly than previously thought. We provide a timeline for the First Dynasty of Egypt of generational-scale resolution that concurs with prevailing archaeological analysis and produce a chronometric date for the foundation of Egypt that distinguishes between historical estimates.
The antiquity of Egyptian civilization has been a source of speculation for many centuries [ 12 ]. Flinders Petrie [ 3 ] published a relative chronology for Early Egypt based on the Carbon dating mathematical modelling journals evolution of ceramics found in human burials. His system of Sequence Dates is regarded as the origin of the technique now known as seriation.
However, it has become apparent that this relative scheme is no longer sufficient for detailed socio-political analysis. Problems include the subjectivity of object classification, variations in assemblages from site to site and the inherent challenges of interpreting broader social and economic change on the basis of funerary evidence alone [ 4 — 6 ].
The relative chronology of the era preceding state formation in is traditionally divided into the Badarian and Naqada or Predynastic periods, based on the archaeology of cemeteries in Upper Egypt UE, the Nile Valley south of Cairo to Aswan.
For this study, we take the
Carbon dating mathematical modelling journals date to refer to the accession of king Aha of the First Dynasty, although his predecessor, Narmer, most probably held political control over the whole state [ 9 ]. Historical foundation dates vary widely and recent estimates from to BCE [ 10 — 13 ].
An absolute chronology for the Predynastic would allow for new insights into this influential period in human history. Egypt was the first manifestation of the territorial state, in many respects the forerunner of all modern countries. The rate and direction of the changes that led to this political centralization can only be traced by absolute chronology. Furthermore, the formation of Egypt was accompanied by profound economic and cultural developments, epitomized by the spread of intensive agriculture and the invention of writing [ 14 ].
The latter is thought to have occurred independently in both Egypt and Mesopotamia, but more dating information is still required to establish exactly when and how this innovation took place.
One of the most effective approaches to absolute chronology currently available uses Bayesian statistical modelling [ 1516 ]. The wealth of relative dating evidence available for Early Egypt makes it highly suitable for this sort of analysis. Carbon dating exact modelling journals.
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- Applied Mathematical Modelling - Journal - Elsevier
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- An absolute chronology for early Egypt using radiocarbon dating and Bayesian...
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- Indian Academy for mathematical modeling and Simulation of carbon dioxide from the atmosphere by using external species...
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